Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 424.898670 484.639650 551.585349 632.503996 728.112183 838.027253 974.741452
2025-08-24 333.712772 410.397743 504.574958 630.101125 795.081834 1007.429439 1306.208928
2025-08-31 280.496673 362.052889 468.371044 619.667180 833.656396 1132.098186 1591.929777
2025-09-07 248.087398 332.813784 448.701205 622.726526 884.492893 1275.626665 1928.634673
2025-09-14 218.836245 302.761672 422.083758 609.332955 905.818368 1375.576965 2216.669968
2025-09-21 198.518881 282.285673 405.583668 606.967286 941.285057 1500.959828 2572.657674
2025-09-28 176.032065 255.803061 376.507659 580.115483 931.450537 1547.106807 2794.999244
2025-10-05 168.049656 250.253157 378.595667 603.242988 1008.694328 1758.533933 3386.163213
2025-10-12 162.078824 247.031412 383.691222 631.596907 1099.152918 2011.544180 4135.106978
2025-10-19 152.299226 236.593249 375.581867 635.340835 1143.809516 2182.821277 4753.547712
2025-10-26 140.321822 221.382410 357.753784 618.942186 1146.242128 2266.327672 5186.715969
2025-11-02 130.575944 209.080794 343.732048 607.825980 1157.353834 2370.359480 5704.442587
2025-11-09 126.032499 205.531571 345.199659 627.399181 1237.482757 2652.113813 6818.117083
2025-11-16 118.838661 196.730546 336.308163 625.382669 1270.734823 2831.276198 7711.311516
2025-11-23 111.308047 186.689206 324.124339 615.029578 1283.296965 2961.479787 8506.423344
2025-11-30 106.140742 180.524701 318.678521 618.061888 1327.553620 3185.070710 9714.146731
2025-12-07 99.567640 171.244943 306.365369 604.788468 1330.171120 3295.649365 10572.275103
2025-12-14 94.768114 164.949795 299.381365 602.443969 1359.762253 3490.967710 11854.312930
2025-12-21 87.848236 154.133337 282.470021 575.831293 1322.821195 3480.328190 12297.820125
2025-12-28 86.405882 153.804418 286.852206 598.752967 1420.826358 3912.551683 14908.582657
2026-01-04 85.459716 154.361831 293.091911 626.852381 1538.624935 4446.429841 18389.213816
2026-01-11 82.378199 150.423932 289.466100 630.562530 1588.075698 4763.729191 21020.405297
2026-01-18 77.844657 143.250510 278.312737 614.311538 1576.239040 4859.067419 22501.755262